← Wilczek - Abyssal Heaven - Regionals
Fire SilvieTier 2
at Wilczek - Abyssal Heaven - Regionals
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4%
avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1371
· median 1371
· range 1371–1371
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1168
Q3 1347
1493
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Water Genbu | 13.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
